Wofford made history on Wednesday night by upsetting No. 5 North Carolina as 25-point underdogs. It was just the third time since 2005 that a team had won outright as a dog of 25 or more points in the regular season. The win was a first for the Terriers over an AP Top 25 team and snapped UNC’s 23-game home winning streak.
The 79 points scored by Wofford was the second most the Tar Heels had allowed all season. Roy Williams’ team, which averages 48.1% from the floor, made just 20 of 55 attempts (36.4%) and struggled for second-chance opportunities grabbing only 26.0% of their offensive rebounds. Off-nights happen and many casual bettors will expect a bounce-back game for North Carolina on Saturday against Ohio State. Bookmakers will anticipate this and shade the line, which means contrarian bettors can profit by fading UNC. The best spot is in the first half.
Following a loss to an unranked opponent, ranked teams have gone 282-333-14 ATS in the first half of their next game. The bigger they are the harder they fall. Higher-ranked teams have performed worse in the 1st half.
There are no current lines for Saturday’s CBS Sports Classic, but the Heels will be favored over the Buckeyes. UNC is 10th in overall efficiency per Ken Pom while Ohio State comes in ranked 45th. Top 10 teams favored in the 1st half after losing to an unranked opponent have gone 54-86-7 (38.6%) ATS.
Contrarian bettors wagering $100 per game have returned a profit of $2,705 by fading these ranked teams after a loss. North Carolina will try to right the ship on Saturday but after a historic upset, fade UNC in the 1st half.