Week 15 in college football is awkward. The regular season is in the rearview mirror but bowl season hasn’t begun. Outside of Army-Navy the betting options are scarce. Enter the quarterfinals of the 2017 FCS playoffs.
The 24-team field (why can’t we have this at the FBS level?) has been cut down to eight. No. 1 seed James Madison, reigning FCS champions, kickoff the action Friday night against Weber State. The three remaining quarterfinal matchups take place on Saturday.
Let’s bet some subdivision football! But wait, we don’t know anything about Weber State, ESPN doesn’t track stats for the FCS and what state is Wofford in (answer: South Carolina)? Good points, forget about this betting opportunity and let’s spend the weekend Christmas shopping.
Jokes, don’t leave yet. You don’t need to be a fan to make money off FCS football. A core philosophy at Bet Labs is fading the public, we want to be on the opposite side of the squares.
Here is how betting against the public has worked in the FCS playoffs.
|Percentages of Spread Tickets||ATS Record||ROI|
Umm, that was unexpected. Why doesn’t betting against the public work in the FCS playoffs? These games do not receive much action. Army-Navy on Saturday has four times the amount of tickets as James Madison-Weber State tonight. With few bets, there is no public to fade.
It has been profitable (60% or more of bets, +6.9% ROI) to follow the crowd when wagering on the sub-tier of college football. However, the sample size is small and the results have not been consistent year-to-year.
I could not find one betting trend worth sharing for the FCS, other than not fading the public. Looks like we’ll be Christmas shopping after all this weekend.
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