The Seahawks are clear favorites over the Cardinals, Rams and 49ers but do they have value to win the division? We answer that question and more by looking at how to bet the 2017 NFC West.
Our projections are based on 10,000 simulations of the 2017 NFL season using team statistics and adjusting for Strength of Schedule.
Seattle will try to win the division for a fourth time in five years. There is a very good chance the Seahawks go 6-0 against their in-division rivals. With a 77.2% chance to win the West and at -273 odds, there is value backing Russell Wilson and crew.
|Team||Win Division||Odds (5Dimes)|
|San Francisco 49ers||1.1%||+5000|
|Los Angeles Rams||3.0%||+2200|
Make the Playoffs
The last time Seattle didn’t make the playoffs was 2011. The Seahawks are -450 to extend their streak to six straight years and there is value betting they do so.
It goes without saying but the Rams and Niners are bad. You have to lay $1,100 and $1,900 respectively to win $100 but it’s basically free money. L.A. and San Fran have greater than 90% chance of missing the postseason.
|Team||Playoff Probabilities||Make Playoffs||Miss Playoffs|
|Los Angeles Rams||7.7%||+700||-1100|
|San Francisco 49ers||2.7%||+1200||-1900|
Season Win Total
Win totals with value: Seahawks OVER 10.5 (-116), Rams OVER 5.5 (-112) and Cardinals UNDER 8.5 (+116).
|Arizona Cardinals||8.5 (-140)||8.5 (+116)||26.6||73.4|
|Los Angeles Rams||5.5 (-112)||5.5 (-108||61.4||38.6|
|San Francisco 49ers||4.5 (-169)||4.5 (+137)||60||40|
|Seattle Seahawks||10.5 (-116)||10.5 (-104)||55.2||44.8|
Win the Super Bowl
The Seahawks are the most likely team from the NFC to reach the Super Bowl. At +1000 odds, there is value betting that Pete Carroll’s team wins it all.
|Team||Win Super Bowl||Odds (5Dimes)|
|Los Angeles Rams||0.3%||+22500|
|San Francisco 49ers||0.1%||+30000|
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