Want to know how to bet the AFC North? Here is a look at each team’s division odds, win total, and odds to make the playoffs and win the Super Bowl.
Our projections are based on 10,000 simulations of the 2017 NFL season using team statistics and adjusting for Strength of Schedule.
There is a clear pecking order in the AFC North, it’s the Steelers and everyone else. Pittsburgh has a 62.1% chance of being the first repeat division champs since the Ravens in 2011-12. Speaking of Baltimore (+420), the only team with value to win the division is Joe Flacco and crew.
|Team||Win Division||Odds (5Dimes)|
Make the Playoffs
The AFC North has sent multiple teams to the playoffs in seven of the past nine seasons. We project two teams from the division to make it in 2017: Pittsburgh (division winner) and Baltimore (Wild Card). The Steelers, Ravens and Bengals all have value to reach the postseason.
Poor Cleveland, the Browns are going to start a rookie quarterback in Week 1, it will be the team’s fifth different opening game starter in the last five years. There is a 98.1% chance that Cleveland (-2750) doesn’t make the playoffs.
|Team||Playoff Probabilities||Make Playoffs||Miss Playoffs|
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Season Win Total
We just got done saying that the Steelers and Ravens are part of our most likely AFC playoff picture but there is value betting the UNDER on each team’s season win total. There is also value betting the UNDER for the Browns 4.5 (+135).
The only team with value on the OVER is Cincinnati (8.5, +123).
|Baltimore Ravens||8.5 (+127)||8.5 (-155)||33.8||66.2|
|Cincinnati Bengals||8.5 (+123)||8.5 (-148)||50.8||49.2|
|Cleveland Browns||4.5 (-165)||4.5 (+135)||53.7||46.3|
|Pittsburgh Steelers||10.5 (-155)||10.5 (+127)||52.2||47.8|
Win the Super Bowl
The Super Bowl goes through Foxborough but the Steelers are a real threat to New England. Pittsburgh is one of three teams with double-digit odds of winning the title. At +1050 odds there is value betting on the Killer B’s.
|Team||Win Super Bowl||Odds (5Dimes)|