LeBron James had a bad Game 3 against the Celtics. Boston was able to overcome a 21-point deficit thanks in part to the Cavs star scoring just three points in the second half on 1-of-9 shooting. After his bad game, can LeBron and the Cavs bounce back?

In Game 3 of the Eastern Conference finals LeBron scored 11 points. We will define a bad game for the four-time MVP as scoring fewer than 15 points. Since 2005, including his performance in Game 3, LeBron had scored fewer than 15 points in a game 34 times (out of 1,112 games). How has his team performed straight-up and against-the-spread in the next game?

Since 2005, LeBron’s teams are 25-8 (75.8%) straight-up and 17-15-1 ATS in the next game after a bad performance from the 3-time NBA champion.

When he has been favored in the game after scoring less than 15 points his teams have gone 23-3 (88.5%) straight-up and 14-11-1 ATS.

As a home favorite after a bad game, LeBron’s teams have gone 15-1 (93.8%) straight-up and 10-6 ATS.

In a game after scoring fewer than 15 points, LeBron averages 28 points, eight rebounds and seven assists. LeBron rarely has two bad games in a row. The Cavaliers are 15 point favorites in Game 4 and over 70% of bets are on Cleveland to cover.


2017 NBA Playoffs

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