ATS Records – Preseason AP Poll

The Associated Press released its preseason Top 25 college football poll on Sunday. Alabama, the defending national champion, will begin the season as the No. 1 team in the country. Behind the Tide are No. 2 Clemson, No. 3 Oklahoma, No. 4 Florida State and No. 5 LSU.

These are five of the top programs from college football’s Power 5 conferences. Combined, the teams have implied odds of 55.3% to win the College Football Playoff. No one doubts the talent but what can we expect from a betting perspective with these squads?

No. 1 Teams

Since 2005, the No. 1 team in the Preseason AP Poll has gone 9-2 ATS in Week 1.

The good times don’t last. In that same time frame, only 3 preseason No. 1 teams have finished the year with a winning ATS record.

Roll Tide

Alabama is ranked in the preseason top five for an eighth straight year. In the previous seven seasons, Bama went 6-1 against-the-spread in Week 1 and finished the year with a winning ATS record five times.

When the Tide started the season No. 1 in 2010 and 2013, Nick Saban’s group finished the year with a winning ATS record (14-10, +3.5 units).

Top 5 Teams

Since 2005, teams ranked in the preseason top five have gone 29-26 ATS in Week 1. However, in the last five years those teams have gone 10-15 ATS in Week 1.

Only 38% (21 of 55) of preseason top five teams finish the year with a winning ATS record.

Week 1 ATS Betting

Alabama (-10.5) vs. USC: 69% of tickets on Bama, 53% of money on USC

Clemson (-7) at Auburn: 71% of bets on Clemson, 54% of money on Auburn

Oklahoma (-10) vs. Houston: Sooners getting nearly 60% of ATS tickets, Cougars taking 54% of money wagered

Florida State (-4) vs. Ole Miss: FSU leads the ticket count (61%) but the dollars are on the Rebels (72%)

LSU (-9.5) at Wisconsin: 59% of bets on Tigers, 51% of money on LSU to cover

ATS Records – Preseason AP Poll 

SeasonTeamWeek 1Week 1-4Season
2015Ohio State1-04-05-7
2015TCU0-11-36-6
2015Alabama1-01-37-6
2015Baylor0-12-25-7
2015Michigan St0-10-45-7
2014Florida State1-00-43-10
2014Alabama0-11-35-7
2014Oregon0-11-39-4
2014Oklahoma0-13-15-7
2014Ohio State1-03-18-5
2013Alabama1-02-27-5
2013Ohio State0-13-16-6
2013Oregon0-14-07-5
2013Stanford0-12-27-6
2013Georgia0-11-23-8
2012USC0-11-33-9
2012Alabama1-02-26-7
2012LSU0-12-25-7
2012Oklahoma0-12-26-6
2012Oregon0-11-37-5
2011Oklahoma1-03-16-6
2011Alabama1-03-18-4
2011Oregon0-12-26-5
2011LSU1-03-110-3
2011Boise State1-02-24-8
2010Alabama1-03-17-5
2010Ohio State1-04-09-2
2010Boise State1-03-18-4
2010Florida0-13-16-6
2010Texas0-11-33-9
2009Florida1-03-16-6
2009Texas0-11-35-7
2009Oklahoma0-12-25-6
2009USC1-01-33-9
2009Alabama1-03-18-5
2008Georgia1-02-03-6
2008Ohio State0-10-35-6
2008USC1-03-17-5
2008Oklahoma1-03-010-2
2008Florida1-02-210-2
2007USC0-12-26-6
2007LSU1-03-15-7
2007West Virginia1-03-17-5
2007Texas0-12-26-6
2007Michigan0-12-16-5
2006Ohio State1-04-09-3
2006Notre Dame0-11-24-7
2006Texas1-02-25-6
2006Auburn1-03-15-7
2006West Virginia1-02-15-5
2005USC1-03-16-6
2005Texas1-04-010-2
2005Tennessee0-11-32-8
2005Michigan0-11-34-6
2005LSU1-03-15-5

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