The Sweet 16 and Elite Eight did not disappoint. We had a buzzer-beater, overtime and four upsets by seed. A new champion will be crowned on Monday but before the Final Four starts here is a recap of all the tournament betting action.

Betting Trends (Sweet 16 and Elite Eight)

  • Favorites are 3-5 ATS
  • Betting against the public (<50% of tickets): 5-3 ATS
  • Betting against the public (<40% of tickets): 5-1 ATS
  • Teams getting <50% of spread dollars: 6-2 ATS
  • Over 4-8

Tournament Betting Trends

  • Favorites are 28-30 ATS
  • Betting against the public (<50% of tickets): 36-23 ATS
  • Betting against the public (<40% of tickets): 22-10 ATS
  • Teams getting <50% of spread dollars: 38-20 ATS
  • Over 38-25 (60.3%)

This is still the most profitable OVER tournament in our database despite Overs going 4-8 in the second weekend.

ATS results by seed

1-seeds were the most profitable in the second weekend going 3-1-2 ATS while 4-seeds, which got all four teams to the Sweet 16, went 0-3-2 ATS.

Here are the ATS results by seed for the entire tournament.

SeedATS Record

Most profitable conferences

South Carolina and Florida’s surprise runs to the Elite Eight have helped make the SEC the most profitable conference in the tournament. The ACC, who had the most teams qualify, has gone a disappointing 3-13 ATS (-10.13 units).

Biggest Money-line Upsets (Sweet 16 and Elite Eight)

Xavier +310 vs. Arizona

 Allonzo Trier scored 15 straight points to give Arizona an eight point lead with four minutes remaining but the Wildcats didn’t score in the last 2:52 and Xavier finished the game on a 9-0 run to win it. The Musketeers magical tournament run ended in the Elite Eight when the Zags rolled the 11-seed.

 Oregon +282 vs. Kansas

 Oregon got the lead early and then never trailed after the 16 minute mark in the first half. The Ducks are headed to the Final Four for the first time in nearly 80 years.

 Biggest Tournament Money-line Upsets

  • USC +315 vs. SMU
  • Xavier +310 vs. Arizona
  • Oregon +282 vs. Kansas
  • South Carolina +270 vs. Duke
  • Xavier +270 vs. Florida State
  • Wisconsin +213 vs. Villanova


 This shot won’t be remember since Wisconsin lost the game in the overtime but it was a huge play as no other tournament game had gone to overtime. Bettors had laid $565 to win $100 before the tournament that at least one game would go to an extra session.


 Florida’s Chris Chiozza makes an incredible runner at the buzzer to beat the Badgers in the Sweet 16. It was the first and only buzzer-beater of the tournament. It was a big win for all the “Yes” bettors (-265) that said there would be a buzzer-beater in the tournament.


2017 March Madness

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