Relegation in soccer is when the bottom teams in each league are demoted to a lower division. After the 2016 season, Hull City, Middlesbrough and Sunderland were relegated from the Premier League to the Championship. Who are the favorites to be sent down in 2017?
Huddersfield (-150), Brighton (+120) and Burnley (+125) are the oddsmakers picks to be relegated. The Terriers and Seagulls were just promoted to the top flight this year.
How likely are the favorites to finish in the bottom three of the Premier League? Using SportsOddsHistory, I pulled the last five years of relegation odds. On average, of the three favorites to lose their spot in the upper division 1.4 teams get relegated.
The favorites to be relegated are expected to be bad. How have they performed for bettors?
|Queens Park Rangers||8-30||-13.65||20th|
In the last five years, betting the three favorites to be sent down has cost bettors 71.3 units (a loss and draw count against each team). Fading these teams has netted bettors 14.3 units of profit.
History suggests at least one of Huddersfield, Brighton and Burnley will be relegated. All will likely struggle and it has been profitable to fade teams favored to be demoted.
2017 Premier League Relegation Odds
|West Bromwich Albion||+550|
English Premier League now available
Create winning betting systems for the EPL