The second leg of horse racing’s Triple Crown will be run on Saturday. The Preakness Stakes will draw a lot of public action, which horse should you bet? Here is a quick preview of the favorites and a longshot to win the Run for the Black-Eyed Susans.
For this analysis I’m going to use Pace Figures available at Predicteform.com. Pace Figures can tell you if a horse is likely to improve or regress in its next start. In the spirit of full disclosure I was a founder of Predicteform.com.
Always Dreaming (-122)
The Kentucky Derby winner is the favorite at Pimlico on Saturday. Trainer Todd Pletcher doesn’t have a great track record with horses on short rest but Always Dreaming is the “Top Contender”, most likely to win, according to the Pace Figures. The Derby champ also has a New Pace Top (NPT) pattern. An NPT is a strong indicator of future success.
Classic Empire (+271)
Classic Empire finished fourth at the Kentucky Derby despite being bumped early and having a difficult run to the front. The Preakness hopeful will start next to Always Dreaming and go off as the second favorite to win the race. The colt has a “Breakout” classification – expected to improve significantly from previous races based on pace and form. These horses are typically undervalued.
Conquest Mo Money (+1703)
This is one of five horses that did not race in the Kentucky Derby. Conquest Mo Money won his first three races and most recently finished second in the Arkansas Derby to Classic Empire. The Doug O’Neill trained horse is listed as a “Breakout” candidate and has a New Pace Top pattern. Conquest Mo Money is a longshot that could win it all.
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2017 Preakness Odds
|9||Lookin at Lee||1301|
|10||Conquest Mo Money||1703|
|7||Term of Art||4050|