It is Championship Week and every major conference tournament is about to tip off. With automatic bids to the NCAA tournament on the line we have simulated each conference tournament 10,000 times using the Bracket Simulator to determine the most likely winner(s).
When: March 8-11th
Where: Las Vegas, NV
The automatic bid goes to: Oregon (36.1%)
The regular season co-champions are led by Pac-12 Player of the Year Dillon Brooks and are better defensively, rank 22nd in defensive efficiency, than Arizona (28th) and UCLA (89th). The Ducks are the most experienced and balanced team in the Pac-12.
And if they lose: UCLA (27.0%)
Lonzo Ball might not be Stephen Curry but his performance in his first (and last) season at UCLA was good enough to earn him Freshman of the Year honors. With the help of Ball, the Bruins lead the nation in scoring. If UCLA can turn the Pac-12 tournament into a track meet, few teams can keep pace.
Teams with Value
Which teams are offering value to win the Pac-12 tournament?
Arizona +370: It is a three horse race for the Pac-12 title. Arizona has three All-Conference players in Lauri Markkanen, Allonzo Trier and Kadeem Allen as well as the Pac-12 Coach of the Year, Sean Miller. Pac-12 tournament champion would go nicely with all of those accolades.
Utah +1600: This is a play based on seeding. The Utes are the 4-seed and have earned a bye. The team’s quarterfinal matchup will be against either Cal or Oregon State, two teams Utah has already beaten this season. There is value getting a team in the semifinals at +1600 odds.
All-time March Madness Pro Systems are 882-592 (60%), +239.41 units
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Odds to win the Pac-12 Tournament (based on 10,000 simulations of the conference tournament)