There is incredible power in understanding how teams, players, leagues and markets have reacted to various scenarios. Using Bet Labs massive database of proprietary sports betting information, you can easily build and explore data-driven betting systems.
Each week we will provide a betting trend for the most interesting NFL games. Some trends will be team specific and others situational. Our database goes back to 2003, the trends include all games in that time frame unless otherwise mentioned.
Raiders vs. Chiefs (-2.5)
Kansas City’s perfect season came to an end with a home loss to the Steelers. The Chiefs will try to bounce back as small road favorites in Oakland.
On a short week, favorites in division games: 58-47 (55.2%) ATS
- Favorites on the road: 26-13 (66.7%) ATS
Browns vs. Titans (-7)
The Browns are winless, once again. It is important to not overreact to poor performances early in the season because we don’t know which team are truly bad. However, after a month of football that changes.
Winless home underdogs
- Weeks 2-4: 58-49 (54.2%) ATS
- Week 5-16: 20-32 (38.5%) ATS
Steelers (-5) vs. Bengals
Pittsburgh got a big win over the Chiefs in Kansas City to push their record to 4-2 and stay atop the AFC North. Ben Roethlisberger has dominated the division going 40-27 (59.7%) ATS but Cincinnati is coming off a bye and has won two straight. Majority of bets are on the Killer B’s, is that a smart wager?
This Pro System is 430-332 (56.4%) ATS since 2003
Chargers (-1) vs. Broncos
Should bettors fade the Broncos? Denver lost as a double-digit favorite to a winless Giants team on Sunday Night Football. Do teams bounce back after epic failures?
Teams that lost previous game as favorite of a touchdown or more: 107-81 (56.9%) ATS
- Were favored by 10 or more points: 34-19 (64.2%) ATS
49ers vs. Cowboys (-6)
Dallas spent its bye week dealing with drama. The Cowboys could be without their leading rusher but it might not matter when they travel to San Francisco to face the 0-6 Niners. Betting teams off a bye has been a profitable strategy. The sweet spot is when they are favored on the road.
- Road favorites after a bye: 49-23 (68.1%) ATS
Patriots (-3.5) vs. Falcons
It’s not often that a team is a big favorite one week and then underdogs the next. The Falcons were 10.5-point favorites at home in Week 6 and now are underdogs to the Patriots in Foxborough.
- Last 5 years, teams that were favored the previous game by 7 or more points and are road dogs the next game: 58-41 (58.6%) ATS