There is incredible power in understanding how teams, players, leagues and markets have reacted to various scenarios. Using Bet Labs massive database of proprietary sports betting information, you can easily build and explore data-driven betting systems.
Each week we will provide a betting trend for the most interesting NFL games. Some trends will be team specific and others situational. Our database goes back to 2003, the trends include all games in that time frame unless otherwise mentioned.
Packers (-7.5) vs. Bears
Week 4 starts with the Packers hosting the Bears. After beating the Bengals in overtime, Green Bay opened as a big favorite over the division rival Bears. Less than 30% of spread bets are on Chicago, even though they just upset the Steelers.
Patriots -9 vs. Panthers
Tom Brady saved the Patriots on Sunday leading New England on a nine-play game-winning drive to avoid a 1-2 start. The Pats are heavy favorites over a struggling Carolina squad. Brady after a win, favored by 7 or more points: 41-28 (59.4%) ATS.
Should you bet the defending champions or buy low on the Panthers?
Week 4: Patriots vs. Panthers
This Pro System is 122-80 (60.4%) ATS since 2003
Dolphins vs. Saints (-2.5)
Is it possible to lose to a team that is tanking? Yes, Miami scored just six points (in garbage time) against the New York Jets. Now the Dolphins cross the pond to face the Saints in London. The public is fading Jay Cutler but there is value on the Fins.
Browns vs. Bengals (-3.5)
Cleveland and Cincinnati are both 0-3. The only way you’re watching this game is if you bet it. Here is one angle that favors the home team.
Chargers (-1) vs. Eagles
Can the Chargers right the ship? Will the momentum from the Eagles last second win against the Giants carry over to Week 4? Oddsmakers favor Philip Rivers and the Bolts at home but public bettors are backing Philly (+60% of spread bets).
Seahawks (-13) vs. Colts
Andrew Luck has been ruled out for Sunday Night Football. The Seahawks dropped a tough one to the Titans in Week 3 but are big favorites to get back to .500 facing the Colts at home.