The Final Four is set. Before Gonzaga, North Carolina, Oregon and South Carolina battle for the national championship, here are a few betting trends to know.

There is incredible power in understanding how teams, players, leagues and markets have reacted to various scenarios. Using Bet Labs massive database of proprietary sports betting information you can easily build and explore data-driven betting systems. Our database goes back to 2005 and these trends are for the Final Four and National Championship game unless otherwise noted.

Spread Trends

1-seeds are 18-13 ATS

  • North Carolina and Gonzaga

1-seeds against any team seeded No. 2 or higher are 11-6 ATS

  • North Carolina and Gonzaga

Favorites are 21-14 ATS

  • North Carolina and Gonzaga

Teams with ATS win% >55% that are underdogs of 3 or more points are 4-10 ATS

  • Oregon

Teams that have covered their last 2, 3 or 4 tourney games are 15-22 ATS

  • South Carolina

Good Teams (won 80% or more of their games) that are favored are 19-10 ATS

  • North Carolina and Gonzaga

Teams that have covered the spread in +65% of their games are 1-5 ATS

  • Gonzaga

No.1 Gonzaga vs. No. 7 South Carolina

There is a Pro System pick for this game that is 95-64 (60%) ATS

Which team should you bet?


Dogs of 5 or more points are 2-10 SU and 5-7 ATS

  • South Carolina

Fading the Public Continues to be Profitable

  • Teams getting <50% 17-18 ATS
  • <45% 12-12ATS
  • <40% 5-4 ATS
  • <35% 2-0 ATS

Majority of bets are on North Carolina and South Carolina

Over/Under Trends

The UNDER is 20-16 but 4-8 in the last four years

  • Gonzaga/South Carolina 138, UNC/Oregon 150.5

The UNDER is 7-4 when the total increases by at least 1 point

  • UNC/Oregon total opened 148.5, currently 150.5

The OVER is 14-20 when more than 50% of bets are on the over

  • More than 50% of the bets are on the Over for both games

Final Four First Timers

Schools making first appearance in Final Four are 1-2 straight-up and 2-1 ATS

  • Gonzaga and South Carolina

1st time coaches in Final Four are 6-5 straight-up and 7-3-1 ATS

  • Mark Few (Gonzaga), Dana Altman (Oregon), Frank Martin (South Carolina)

1st time coaches from Power 5 conferences are 5-3 SU and 5-2-1 ATS

  • Frank Martin (South Carolina)