In a weekend that featured no top-25 matchups, four top-10 teams lost and seven ranked teams fell to unranked opponents. In case you missed it, here is your Week 7 betting recap.

Week 7 Betting Trends

Underdogs: 32-23 (58.2%) ATS

Home teams: 28-26 (51.9%) ATS

Ranked teams: 8-13 (38.1%) ATS

  • Ranked favorites 7-12 (36.8%%) ATS

Unders went 34-23 (59.6%)

  • +50% of bets on the Over, Unders went 31-19 (62.0%)

Biggest Money-line Upsets

Syracuse (+1203) vs. Clemson

Eric Dungey threw for 278 yards and three touchdowns as the Orange upset No. 2 Clemson 27-24 on Friday night. The defending champions lost quarterback Kelly Bryant to a concussion late in the first half and could see its playoff hopes slip away if he misses time.

Boston College (+713) at Louisville

A.J. Dillion rushed for 272 yards and four touchdowns. The freshman helped setup kicker Colton Lichtenberg’s 27-yard field goal as time expired to top Louisville 45-42.

Arizona State (+674) vs. Washington

The streak continues, Washington has now lost seven straight times at Arizona State and hasn’t won in Tempe since 2001. The Sun Devils had allowed at least 30 points in 11 straight games but held the No. 5 team in the country to just one touchdown. 

South Alabama (+644) at Troy

South Alabama forced four turnovers and held Troy to just one score in the Battle for the Belt.

Fade Ranked Teams After a Loss

Oklahoma was upset by Iowa State in Week 6. The Sooners opened as 7.5 points favorites before closing as 9-point favorites over Texas in the Red River Rivalry. It has been a profitable strategy to bet against ranked teams after a loss.

Winning Without Passing

Army was 0-for-5 on pass attempts but won for the second time this year without completing a throw. Per ESPN Stats and Info, no FBS school has had more than one game without a pass completion since 2004.

Top 5 Teams Overrated

Highly ranked teams are often overrated by the public, which causes their lines to be inflated. In conference matchups, where the teams are familiar with each other it has been profitable to bet against the best teams in the country.

Trend Highlight – Fade Home Favorites After Bad Offensive Game

Offenses struggle to score points from time to time. It’s nothing to get worked up about but if a team is favored in the next game after scoring less than ten points it has been profitable to fade them. Since 2005, home favorites after a bad offensive game are 157-225 (41.1%) ATS.

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