Top ten upsets, kicking woes and 30-point underdogs, Saturday was full of surprises in college football. In case you missed it, here is your Week 6 betting recap.

Week 5 Betting Trends

Favorites: 28-27 (50.9%) ATS

Road teams: 33-22 (60.0%) ATS

Ranked teams: 13-8 (61.9%) ATS

  • Ranked teams on the road 9-3 (75%) ATS

Teams getting 50% or more of bets: 24-31 (43.6%) ATS

Unders went 33-24 (57.9%)

  • Unders of 60 or more points: 11-4 (73.3%)

Biggest Money-line Upsets

Iowa State (+4500) at Oklahoma

Iowa State did the unthinkable, well not really. Oklahoma has made it a habit of losing as big favorites. The Cyclones rallied from down 24-10 to upset the Sooners 38-31. Iowa State quarterbacks Kyle Kempt threw for 343 yards and three touchdowns outplaying Heisman hopeful Baker Mayfield.

Bowling Green (+526) at Miami Ohio

The Falcons pulled off the second upset in the MAC Saturday thanks to a 93-yard fumble return for a touchdown late in the fourth. Bowling Green beat Miami Ohio 37-29 for its first win of the season.

Michigan State (+400) at Michigan 

Michigan has failed to cover against Michigan State in ten straight games and has now lost eight of the last ten meeting against their in-state rivals. The Wolverines were sloppy turning the ball over five times in the disappointing showing. 

Southern Miss (+321) at UTSA

Keon Howard threw three touchdowns and the defense stopped a late two-point conversion that would have tied the game to give Southern Miss a 31-29 victory over the previously undefeated Roadrunners of UTSA. 

Kicking Woes

Florida kicker Eddy Pinerio missed an extra point in the third quarter and that proved the difference in a 17-16 loss for the Gators. Florida opened as 6.5 point favorites but closed as 1.5-point underdogs.

30-point Underdogs

Big underdogs have been money against-the-spread in 2017. We theorized that with the change from the BCS system to the College Football Playoff, margin of victory less important, teams aren’t running up the score like they once did.

Planted Flags

What goes around, comes back around. Baker Mayfield showed up Ohio State after their marquee win earlier in the season so it was only right that Iowa State planted its flag at midfield after shocking the Sooners on Saturday.

Trend Highlight – High Scoring Team, Home Conference Game

If you can score points, you can win college football games. The sweet spot is when the high-power offense is at home against a conference opponent. Teams matching this system have gone 6-3 ATS in 2017 and are +38.63 units since 2005.

All College Football Pro Systems are 116-94 (ATS, ML and O/U), 55.2% win rate, +20.78 units to start 2017.

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