Planted flags, 3rd-and-93, upsets and covers, just another week in college football. In case you missed it, here is your College Football Week 2 betting recap.
Week 2 Betting Trends
- Underdogs went 43-27 (71.7%) ATS
- Road teams went 47-21 (69.1%) ATS
- Unders went 46-24 (65.7%)
- Games with totals of 60 points or more: Under was 16-9 (64.0%)
- Betting against the public (<35% of tickets): 23-20 (53.5%) ATS
- Ranked teams getting <50% of the bets: 1-4 ATS
Biggest Money-line Upsets
UTSA (+367) at Baylor
UTSA 17, Baylor 7 in fourth quarter. That Baylor-Kansas game is going to be epic.
— Pat Forde (@YahooForde) September 10, 2017
Congrats to UTSA on its first win over a Power 5 team. The Roadrunners had been 0-9 against programs from the big boy conferences. Baylor is now 0-2 and has lost eight straight regular season games.
Oklahoma (+282) at Ohio State
Y'all should've known Baker Mayfield was that dude when this hit the internet
— Football Life (@TheFBLifee) September 10, 2017
The marquee matchup of the weekend turned into a blowout. Heisman hopeful Baker Mayfield threw for 386 yards and three touchdowns helping the Sooners pull away in the fourth. The win cements Oklahoma as a title contender and puts Ohio State’s path to the playoff in jeopardy.
New Mexico State (+258) at New Mexico
Aggies win! NMSU 30 – UNM 28 Great rivalry game! pic.twitter.com/qLlWYntS6O
— New Mexico State (@nmsu) September 10, 2017
Recipe for success: starting quarterback throws for 400+ yards and four touchdowns and the defense forces four turnovers. New Mexico State did just that in their upset of rival New Mexico.
New Hampshire (+250) at Georgia Southern
FEAR THE FCS!!!
— FCS Football (@NCAA_FCS) September 9, 2017
FCS member New Hampshire beat FBS team Georgia Southern 22-12. FBS teams are 26-44 (37.1%) ATS vs. FCS teams in 2017.
Middle Tenn State (+250) at Syracuse
Middle Tennessee State beats Syracuse, who is paying them $950,000. Eastern Michigan beats Rutgers, who is paying them $860,000.
— Darren Rovell (@darrenrovell) September 9, 2017
Brent Stockstill threw touchdowns on three consecutive drives as Middle Tennessee upset Syracuse 30-23. For their troubles, the Orange paid the Blue Raiders nearly $1 million to beat them.
Fade Ranked Teams in Home Openers
Betting strategy for Week 2: fade ranked teams in home openers#Bama
— Bet Labs Sports (@Bet_Labs) September 9, 2017
A profitable betting strategy for Week 2 in college football is fading ranked teams in home openers. In the last ten years this system had covered over 60% ATS. This year, it went 7-1 ATS. Tuck this away for next year.
3rd and 93
This play brought up a 3rd and 93 for La. Tech. Really pic.twitter.com/62QKndkE04
— Saturday Down South (@SDS) September 10, 2017
Mississippi State easily beat Louisiana Tech 57-21 and covered as 10.5-point favorites. What this game will be remembered for is a strange fumble (87 yard loss on one play) that setup a 3rd and 93. Spoiler alert: Louisiana Tech wasn’t able to convert.
Baker Mayfield planting the Oklahoma flag in the middle of the Ohio State O at the Horseshoe is as savage as it gets. pic.twitter.com/PrtgtUvmzL
— Big Cat (@BarstoolBigCat) September 10, 2017
“We should have won by more,” Baker Mayfield said. The Sooners quarterback showed out in a win over No. 2 Ohio State. The cherry on top, planting his school’s flag on the 50-yard line. This was retaliation for the Buckeyes singing the Ohio State alma mater on the field after beating Oklahoma early last season. What goes around, comes around.
Trend Highlight – Small Visiting Dogs
Underdogs and road teams are undervalued by casual bettors. These teams win outright more often than the public thinks. This moneyline Pro System is +87.95 units since 2005 and has started 9-3 (75%) to start the season, +8.39 units.
All Bet Labs College Football Pro Systems are 55-46 (ATS, ML and O/U), +8.16 units to start 2017.
Unlock all Pro System picks for the entire football season.