It is Championship Week and every major conference tournament is about to tip off. With automatic bids to the NCAA tournament on the line we have simulated each conference tournament 10,000 times using the Bracket Simulator to determine the most likely winner(s).

When: March 8-11th

Where: New York, NY

The automatic bid goes to: Villanova (58.4%)

The defending national champions are the top seed in the Big East tournament. A strong showing in Madison Square Garden could earn the Wildcats the top overall seed in the NCAA tournament. Villanova is the only power conference team projected to win its tournament more than 50% of the time.

And if they lose: Butler (14.2%)

Butler swept Nova in the regular season and has impressive wins over tournament teams Arizona, Cincinnati, Northwestern and Vanderbilt. We seemed destined for a third matchup between the Bulldogs and Wildcats; will Butler continue to be Villanova’s kryptonite?

Teams with Value

Which teams are offering value to win the Big East tournament?

Villanova -140: The oddsmakers did a good job setting the lines for the tournament. Only Nova is offering any value and it should be classified more as fairly priced. At -140, the implied odds of the Wildcats winning is 58.3%, we give Villanova a 58.4% chance of winning the tournament.


All-time March Madness Pro Systems are 882-592 (60%), +239.41 units

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Odds to win the Big East Tournament (based on 10,000 simulations of the conference tournament)

SeedTeamProjected ChanceOdds
1Villanova58.4-140
2Butler14.2+400
3Providence3.2+2800
4Marquette5.5+950
5Seton Hall3+2000
6Creighton11.6+525
7Xavier3.1+1300
8St. John's0+6600
9Georgetown1+3000
10Depaul0+20000