The All-Star break is the unofficial midway point of the baseball season. After an exciting first half, here is a betting recap of the 2017 MLB season.

Betting Trends

ML Underdogs: 584-742, +7.63 units

  • Underdogs are historically profitable and are the building block of many Pro Systems

Over: 646-612, +6.38 units

  • Teams have hit 3,343 homers already this year, 261 more than last year at the All-Star break

Betting against the public continues to be successful. Contrarian bettors that took all teams getting less than 40% of moneyline bets are up over 30 units in the 1st half.

Number of BetsRecordUnitsROI
<50%599-692+23.5+1.8%
<40%374-449+31.8+3.9%
<30%160-214+9.03+2.4%
<20%27-26+14.9+28.0%

Most Profitable Moneyline teams

The Brewers, Rockies and Diamondbacks have all surprised (on the field and for bettors) to start the season. The Astros profitability is even more impressive having been favored in all but 13 games this season.

Least Profitable Moneyline teams

 

Philadelphia and San Francisco have the two worst records in baseball. The defending champions are struggling and destroying bankrolls on their way to a 43-45 record. Chicago has received the majority of moneyline bets in all but 10 games this season.

Most Profitable OVER teams

The Mets are 6th in home runs hit and 4th in runs allowed, an excellent combination for OVER bettors.

Most Profitable UNDER teams

Cleveland is the most profitable UNDER team in 2017. Only the Dodgers and Diamondbacks have allowed fewer runs this season and the Indians are the division leader with the fewest run scored.

Most Profitable Pitchers

Clayton Kershaw is the first 14-game winner in the league this year. The Dodgers ace has been favored in every game this season from odds of -157 to -355.

Biggest Moneyline Upsets

  • Padres +284 at Indians (7/4/17)
  • Twins +260 at Indians (6/24/17)
  • Angels +260 at Yankees (6/20/17)
  • Phillies +236 vs. Red Sox (6/15/17)
  • White Sox +235 at Indians (4/12/17)

MLB Over/Under Pro Systems

All Over/Under Pro Systems have combined to go 104-81 (56.2%), +20.2 units

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