The Raiders made the playoffs for the first time since 2002, Brock Osweiler got benched and everything else you need to know about Week 15 in the NFL.

Betting Trends

  • Favorites went 8-8 (50.0%) ATS
  • Road teams went 11-5 (68.8%) ATS
  • Unders went 9-7 (56.3%)
  • Betting against the public (<35% of tickets): 3-5 (37.5%) ATS
  • Teams with a winning record: 9-9 (50.0%) ATS

Biggest Money-line Upset 

Panthers (+261) at Redskins

Washington controlled its own playoff destiny before losing to Carolina on Monday night. Kirk Cousins threw an interception and fumbled near his own goal line as the high powered Redskins’ offense sputtered to 15 points.

Odell Beckham Catch

OBJ made another one-handed catch Sunday helping the Giants beat the Lions 17-6. Odell Beckham Jr. became the first player in NFL history with 80-plus catches and 1,000 yards receiving in each of his first three seasons.

Raiders Playoff Bound

Oakland clinched its first playoff berth since 2002 with a 19-16 win over San Diego. The Raiders, who are 11-3, sit in first place in the AFC West after a loss by the Chiefs and have the potential to earn a first round bye. 

60-Yard Bomb 

After squandering a 27-10 lead, Aaron Rodgers connected with Jordy Nelson on a 60-yard pass that set up a Mason Crosby game-winning field goal as time expired. The Packers have won four straight and are in contention for the playoffs after starting the season 4-6. 

Bad Beat

Jacksonville led 20-8 late in the third quarter. Anyone who took the Jags money-line pregame (closed consensus +166) had to feel good. With a double-digit lead that late in the game the Jaguars were as big as -699 money-line favorites in-game at Cris. Of course the AFC South bottom dwellers blew it, Lamar Miller scored the Texans’ only touchdown with less than three minutes to play to win the game.

Trend Highlight – Road Dog, Low Total after Bad Season

Tampa Bay has been bad for a while. The Buccaneers haven’t been to the playoffs since 2007 and haven’t had a winning season since 2010. The public is slow to back teams that don’t consistently win. Despite winning five games in a row and being in contention for the division title, the Bucs were seven point underdogs at Dallas. Tampa led entering the fourth and had opportunities to win the game outright but settled for the cover instead.

Road underdogs are historically undervalued and games with low totals favor the dog as well. Teams that have recently had bad seasons do not garner public support. Betting road underdogs in games with low totals after a bad season has been highly profitable.

All-time this Pro System is 423-340 (55%) ATS, +62.6 units.

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