There is incredible power in understanding how teams, players, leagues and markets have reacted to various scenarios. Using Bet Labs massive database of proprietary sports betting information you can easily build and explore data-driven betting systems.
Each week we will provide a betting trend for every NFL game. Some trends will be team specific and others situational. Our database goes back to 2003, the trends include all games in that time frame unless otherwise mentioned.
Falcons (-4.5) vs. Seahawks
Defense wins championships but the Falcons are going to try and win with offense. Atlanta has scored at least 28 points in nine of their last ten games. Matt Ryan has thrown 11 touchdowns and no interceptions in his last four games.
This is the fifth straight year that Seattle will play in the divisional round. The Seahawks have to be confident having already beaten the Falcons once this season (26-24 in Week 6).
Patriots (-16) vs. Texans
New England is a monstrous favorite over Houston. If the line held it would be the largest closing playoff spread we have ever tracked in our database going back to 2003. It is hard to find a way in which the Pats don’t win.
The Texans are big underdogs playing with house-money. Brock Osweiler looked like a different quarterback in a win over Oakland. A competent quarterback paired with a good defense makes for a formidable foe.
Chiefs (-1) vs. Steelers
Kansas City has a top ten offense, an above average defense and one of the best special teams units in the league. No one will be talking about the Chiefs this week, which makes them overlooked and dangerous.
The Steelers offense is dangerous when Ben Roethlisberger, Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown are all playing. However, Big Ben was in a walking boot after the win over the Dolphins, his health is paramount to Pittsburgh if they are to win in Kansas City.
Cowboys (-4) vs. Packers
Dallas is rested and ready to go. The top seed in the NFC should be able to put up a lot of points against a Packers defense that is in the bottom half of the league in passing yards allowed and points scored.
Can the Packers lose? It doesn’t seem like it after a 38-13 thrashing of the Giants. Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay are the hottest team in football, Dallas fans can’t be that excited seeing them come to town.
2016-17 NFL Playoffs
The Divisional Round starts Saturday, don’t miss out on any of the action