The entire season has been building to New Year’s Eve when Alabama, Clemson, Ohio State and Washington will decide who is college football’s best team. With that in mind, here are trends for the College Football Playoff.

Note: Our database goes back to 2005.

College Football Playoff Trends

  • Favorites are 3-3 straight-up and 2-4 ATS
  • Teams getting <50% of the bets: 5-1 ATS
  • The higher seed is 4-2 ATS
  • The Over is 3-3

Coaching Bowl Trends

Urban Meyer is the most profitable bowl coach in our database at 8-2 ATS, +5.7 units. Alabama is known for its defense but in bowl games Nick Saban’s team often goes over the total.

CoachStraight-upATSOver
Nick Saban7-36-48-2
Urban Meyer8-28-28-2
Dabo Swinney5-46-34-5
Chris Petersen6-46-45-5

Team Bowl Trends

TeamStraight-upATSOver
Alabama8-47-59-3
Ohio State6-57-45-6
Clemson6-66-64-8
Washington2-44-23-3

Alabama (-14) vs. Washington

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Nick Saban’s team has been favored by 10 or more points in over 65% of the games he has coached. It is not enough that his team is good but they also cover. Bama backers and bettors get the best of both worlds.


Alabama vs. Washington

There is a Pro System pick for this game that is 65-37 (64%) ATS

Get game matches for this system


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In a 142 games, Chris Petersen has only been an underdog 23 times and received 7 or more points ten times.

Ohio State (-3) vs. Clemson pablo-10

When the public goes against Urban Meyer they lose. The Ohio State coach is 4-0 ATS when getting less than 50% of the bets in postseason games.

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Dabo’s teams are 16-9 ATS as an underdog and 9-5 ATS in neutral site games. His team has never failed to cover as underdogs in neutral site games.