We are halfway through the NBA regular season. The Warriors and Cavs sit atop their respective conferences as expected but how are teams doing compared to preseason expectations. Here is a midseason look at the NBA win totals.
Golden State has the best record in basketball at 34-6 and are on pace to win 70 games. According to fivethirtyeight.com’s “CARM-Elo” model the Dubs will win 67 games, a tick below their preseason projections but still good enough to cover the highest win total in the Association.
The Cavs are also in line to go over their preseason win total of 56.5 games. In fact, six of the seven teams with the highest win totals in the NBA are currently projected to go Over as are 17 of the 30 squads in the league.
Over Performing Teams
- Rockets – 45 wins to 59 wins
- Grizzlies – 35 wins to 47 wins
- Bucks – 32 wins to 42 wins
Houston is one of the pleasant surprises this season. After a .500 campaign that resulted in the firing of Kevin McHale, the Rockets have returned to form. James Harden is the MVP favorite and Houston is challenging the Warriors for the top seed in the West.
Grit-and-grind isn’t dead and the Greek Freak has fans in Milwaukee excited about the future.
Under Performing Teams
- Timberwolves – 46 wins to 32 wins
- Heat – 33 wins to 26 wins
- Mavericks – 37 wins to 30 wins
Minnesota was expected to take a step forward this season and compete for a playoff berth. Despite loads of young talent (Karl-Anthony Towns, Anderw Wiggins, Zach LaVine) the T-Wolves are on pace to finish in the bottom of the Western Conference.
The Heat and Mavs were fringe playoff teams coming into the season; injuries and poor play have dampened each team’s postseason aspirations.
|Teams||Win Total||Preseason Proj.||Current Proj.|
|Golden State Warriors||66.5||68||67|
|San Antonio Spurs||56.5||52||61|
|Los Angeles Clippers||53.5||48||51|
|Oklahoma City Thunder||45.5||50||47|
|Portland Trail Blazers||46.5||46||39|
|New York Knicks||38.5||35||35|
|New Orleans Pelicans||36.5||35||33|
|Los Angeles Lakers||24.5||25||28|