The 2016-17 NBA regular season came to a close. With the playoffs starting Saturday here is a recap of all the betting action.

Betting Trends

Underdogs went 624-590 (51.4%) ATS

  • This is the first time in 5 years that underdogs were profitable all season

Home teams went 618-593 (51.0%) ATS

  • Blindly betting home teams would have cost you 5.89 units but in the last 12 years on average home teams have lost 52.55 units per season

Betting against the public remains highly profitable

Fading the public by spread ticket percentage

Ticket%RecordUnitsROI
<50%619-579+9.670.08%
<45%494-464+5.730.6%
<40%367-339+10.161.4%
<35%245-219+13.662.9%

Fading the public by spread dollars

Ticket%RecordUnitsROI
<50%596-589-21.58-1.8%
<45%484-466-5.64-0.6%
<40%400-351+29.7+4.0%
<35%286-240+32.17+6.1%

Most Profitable ATS teams

The Sixers surprised everyone, including the bookmakers, by fielding a competitive team. Blindly betting Philly this season would have netted you +13.74 units.

Least Profitable ATS teams

Combined the Magic, Hornets, Bucks and Timberwolves cost bettors 51.49 units this season.

Most Profitable OVER teams

Most Profitable UNDER teams

Since 2005, there 22 games with totals of 235 or greater, 10 of those games occurred this season and the OVER went 3-7.

Longest Streaks

  • The Warriors won 14 straight (March 14th to April 8th)
  • The Nets lost 16 in a row from January 21st to February 25th
  • Miami covered 13 straight games from January to February
  • The Rockets (active) and Lakers failed to cover in 8 straight games

Biggest Money-line Upsets

Hawks +1289 at Cavs

 Resting Dwight Howard an three other key starters, Atlanta shocked Cleveland 114-100 one game after the Cavs put themselves in position to capture the top seed in the East by thumping the Celtics.

 Kings +1198 vs. Warriors 

 Stephen Curry missed a layup, Steve Kerr was ejected and the Kings upset the Warriors 109-106 in overtime. Sacramento snapped a 13-game losing streak to Golden State.

 Lakers +1051 at Spurs

 The Lakers never trailed and led by as many as 26 points in a 102-95 win over the Spurs. The victory snapped an eight-game losing streak to San Antonio.

  • Grizzlies +1051 at Warriors
  • Kings +930 at Clippers
  • Grizzlies +916 at Clippers
  • Magic +798 at Spurs

NBA MVP

It was a tight race all season, one in which James Harden was favored to win but in late March that all changed. As Russell Westbrook’s triple doubles started to mount the oddsmakers slowly made the OKC a prohibitive favorite to win the award.

Rookie of the Year

Who wants to win the Rookie of the Year award? Ben Simmons +130 was the preseason favorite but he never played. Joel Embiid was the favorite for much of the regular season reaching -2500 in late January but injuries also ended his season early. Finally, fellow Sixer Dario Saric ends the season as a -240 favorite.

Season Win Totals

  • 14 teams went OVER, 16 teams went UNDER
  • 5 teams totals were decided on the final night, the UNDER went 1-4

Most Overachieving Teams

  • Rockets won 8.5 more games
  • Spurs 3.5
  • Wizards 2.5
  • Bulls 2.5

Most Underachieving Teams

  • Timberwolves 13.5 fewer games than expected
  • Blazers 12.5
  • Pistons 11.5
  • Knicks 11.5

Get ready for the NBA Playoffs

Try Bet Labs for a month, just $49

Start build winning betting systems