2015-16 NBA Season Recap

Kobe Last

The Warriors set a new record with 73 wins in a season.  Kobe Bryant ended his career with a 60-point performance out of nowhere.  The 76ers are….um, they are still a franchise in the NBA.  The NBA regular season is over, and while I’m excited for the playoffs as much as anyone, let’s first take a look back at the regular season in terms of the gambling world.  (All line information comes from Pinnacle)

 RecordUnits Won/Lost
Favorites616-598-11.4
Dogs598-616-44.5
Home612-600-18.8
Visitor600-612-37.1
Home Faves403-388-5.5
Home Dogs209-212-13.3
Visitor Faves212-209-5.9
Visitor Dogs388-403-31.2

Here is the graph for money won for as the spread ranges from the largest favorite (-22) to the largest dog (+22).

Screenshot 2016-04-14 at 10.07.34 AM

That green range towards the end illustrates that dogs of 12.5 or more went 68-51 against the spread and won bettors 14.3 units.  There is also a green pocket to the left of the zero.  Teams that were favored between 2 and 5.5 points went 270-226 against the spread and won bettors 30.4 units.

Below are all 30 teams ATS record:

TeamATS RecordUnits Won/Lost
Mavericks45-36+6.9
Magic45-36+6.7
Warriors45-36+6.4
Raptors45-37+5.9
Blazers44-38+4.3
Pistons42-37+3.7
Heat43-38+3.6
Knicks44-38+3.3
Spurs43-38+3.2
Hornets42-38+2.2
Wizards42-39+2.1
Nuggets42-38+2.0
Celtics42-39+0.7
Clippers40-38+0.3
Grizzlies41-39+0.3
Hawks41-390.0
Pacers41-40-0.9
Jazz41-41-1.9
Timberwolves39-42-4.9
Cavaliers38-42-5.8
Kings38-42-5.9
Bucks38-43-6.7
Thunder38-43-6.8
Nets37-44-8.3
76ers37-44-8.6
Rockets36-45-10.6
Lakers36-46-11.4
Pelicans36-46-11.8
Suns36-46-11.9
Bulls36-46-12.0

Largest Upsets this season:

TeamOppenentMoneyline
Lakersvs Warriors+2352
Grizzlies@ Cavaliers+1581
Timberwolves@ Warriors+1479
Lakers@ Celtics+998
Netsvs Thunder+971

Here were the best teams to bet on the moneyline this season:

Screenshot 2016-04-14 at 10.45.05 AM

The Nuggets and Timberwolves both won over ten units on the moneyline despite having losing records.  If you bet $100 for the Warriors to win every one of their games, you only would have made nine units despite them setting an NBA record for wins.

The sportsbooks did another great job with totals, with 612 games going under the total and 603 games going over the total.  Here are the best Over teams this past season:

Screenshot 2016-04-14 at 10.50.36 AM

And here are the best Under teams this past season:

Screenshot 2016-04-14 at 10.52.20 AM

Those are just some of the highlights of the 2015-16 regular season.  I can’t wait to see what the playoffs bring.

©2016 Sports Insights Inc.

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